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Friday, July 10, 2015

Consensus in context: how big groups make big decisions

In the regular swell of political dialogue that comes with the continuous election cycle, I find myself considering what it means to vote in our massive political system. Intended to be responsive to the popular changes in political sentiment over time, given so many voters, so many opinions with equal weight as mine, it is hard to perceive my ballot as anything more than negligible. In a group of this scale, my vote is not the tipping point. My voice is easily crowded out and smothered.

As a student of biology trained to sift out motif, when describing a behavioral or ecological phenomenon I often indulge in analogy. In nature, many animals have “voting power” in their social groups. Generally speaking, information from multiple individuals is summed somehow to produce decisions for the whole. Choosing where to nest, choosing where to forage, coordinating a hunt, migrating to distant places –these group behaviors are executed in nature through a surprising number of different information distribution strategies. When choosing between two political candidates, our system assigns power uniformly across individuals within a group, but other animals don’t always make group decisions like this. Sometimes only a few voters are needed, sometimes some voters count more than others, sometimes whole-group communication is possible, and sometimes group-level decisions must be made with only local information.

In the Bee Lab we tend to focus on social insects; but social mammals, flocking birds, and schooling fish must also coordinate with their neighbors and respond to their environment to operate as a whole. To help understand the similarities and differences in how different species reach consensus to coordinate behavior, I found a review by Conradt and Roper to be useful. In order to place the continuum of group behavioral strategies into a more elegant framework, the article identifies factors like communication ability, group size, and conflict of interest within a group as particularly important in predicting how voting power is assigned and exercised for a particular species.

In terms of distribution of voting power, perhaps the most egalitarian, unbiased mechanism for forming consensus is expressed in a colony of social insects. Where human equality is ensured only by social policy (fraught with irregular application and variable enforcement), insect equality is firmly grounded in physiology.

Bee and ant societies are such that no individual is ever aware of the state of the colony as a whole, and individual behavior is dictated purely by the chemical and tactile feedback from its immediate surroundings and neighbors. Social insects don’t really operate “democracies” like our own because the individual votes are never completely pooled or tallied. The entire group must remain cohesive for certain critical tasks like nest relocation–a complicated feat of synchrony for such a large number of small brains.

A colony in a hollow tree, a commonly chosen nest site for wild honeybees [1]
An article by Seeley, Vissher and Passino describes the honeybee mechanism of what we may call “voting” in reaching consensus for nest relocation: individual scouts find potential nest sites and then communicate their location using the waggle dance.

How does the group decide on a single nest site out of multiple options, and how well do they choose their new site? The mechanism observed by Seeley is not only beautiful, but also effective. Most notably, it maintains global functionality with only local feedback.

Nest quality across multiple sites is assessed using a feedback loop, manifested in the rates of local interactions. Scouts fly from the hive in search of suitable nest sites, directly inspecting hollow tree trunks or rock crevices. Scouts that find a REALLY GOOD site dance more, increasing the rate of workers searching for their particular site. If different locations are deemed suitable by different scouts, the colony will allocate workers to both sites simultaneously. If enough scouts aggregate at one site—reaching a quorum—the bees will fly back to the hive to catalyze a move by impeding other dancers, speeding up the “decision.” To me, the genius of the process and perhaps a key achievement in collective intelligence is how honeybees overcome indecision and effectively choose between multiple viable options without any individual ever experiencing more than one.

A social insect colony is responsive to environmental fluctuation not through the relatively rigid rules of individual interactions, but rather by the fluidity in the changing rates of said interactions. To witness a honeybee colony with the locations of multiple sites being waggled simultaneously is to witness a colony weigh its options and make up its mind.

According to Conradt’s framework, groups of ants and honeybees have effectively zero conflict of interest amongst individuals. “Voting” in insect societies is distributed; they lack hierarchy in the sense that a stimulus from a single worker is equal in weight to a stimulus from any other worker. A colony contains only one reproductively active member, and is effectively one unit from the evolutionary perspective. Sterile sisters can afford to invariably trust one another. Economically, the colony avoids the costs associated with conflicts of interest to allocate colony members to go where they’re most needed, quickly.

In operations like nest relocation, fascinating self-organizing principles are at work that allow a colony to respond to a chaotic environment. To preplan and coordinate full scale evacuation without any central control and with relatively rigid rules of interaction between individuals is remarkable. For a bee colony, a group stays aware and responsive through complex feedback loops that allow the collective biomass to allocate itself more efficiently.  To me, that’s cool.

But looking at a single worker it’s hard to imagine the potential inherent in each antennal contact, the information being conveyed when a worker palpates the air for pheromone. The brevity and sheer number of these micro contacts masks their significance. That the entire behavioral spectrum of a colony, its full potential to respond to environmental change is regulated and determined at the tap of an antenna, the waggle of an abdomen.

An individual worker, the agent of colony function [2]




Additional Reading:

Conradt, L and Roper, T.J. (2005) Consensus decision making in animals. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 20, 449-456

Seeley, T.D. (1989) The Honeybee Colony as a Superorganism. American Scientist 77, 546-553

Seeley, T.D. and Visscher, P.K. (2004) Group decision-making in nest site location by honeybees. Apidologie 35, 101-116

Seeley, T.D. et al. (2011) Stop Signals Provide Cross Inhibition in Collective Decision-Making by Honeybee Swarms. Science 335, 108-111

Strandberg-Peshkin, A. et al. (2015) Shared decision-making drives collective movement in wild baboons. Science 348, 1358-1361

Media Credits:

[1] Wild Honeybee Colony:
Photo by Alex Wild

[2] Individual Bee:
Photo by Alex Wild




4 comments:

  1. Really cool! Plato and Aristotle compared political organization to beehives (for better or for worse), and I think your analogy brings up interesting questions about individual stakes and the best chance for survival of the greater system. Each individual bee only stands to lose or gain as much as its colony so there are no competing interests, and the waggle communication (and stop signal system you mention?) is a consistent and reliable indicator of the whole colony’s potential gains/losses. Sounds like the opposite of politics to me, where a politician or voter’s interests are often decoupled from the “system”’s interests (if there actually is one overall “system” interest at all) – even if one voter=one vote (although lots of campaign money might be worth more than a vote...). And ironically it’s Plato’s beehive-inspired-sociopolitical-castes theories that reinforce the existence of competing interests in one society. Maybe people are not bees?

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  2. One great place to read more about the similarities & differences between human and honeybee voting is Tom Seeley's fascinating book, "Honeybee Democracy".

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  3. I wouldn't have thought of this to be a linear voting process ... but maybe the quorum effects make up for it!

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    1. Chaitanya, can you explain what you mean? Are you talking about the time complexity of the voting algorithm? It is definitely the quorum that determines how fast it goes (Check out the Seeley 2011 paper for a nice model). As you can imagine, you can make it faster by making the quorum smaller, but then mistakes are more likely. This is demonstrated in ants in Franks et al. 2003 "Speed versus accuracy in collective decision making".

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